Royals

Trey Weigh: Game 4

The man sees all.The man sees all.Friday's 4-1 loss to the Yankees was not about the manager. With a roster shortened by the injury to Jose Guillen and a lineup full of cold bats, Joe McCarthy himself couldn't have steered the Royals past the Yankees today. Kansas City has scored seven runs in four games and the real miracle of the deal is not only have they won two games, they should have actually won three. However, the current break-even won-loss record is going to sound awfully good if the Royals don't snap out of their offensive funk.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 6:26pm.
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Royals bloggy notes: Friday, innings 8-9

Season 41 for the Royals.Season 41 for the Royals.Another solid pitching performance for KC, but this one goes to waste. Maybe it's just openers that plague the '09 Royals. There were still things to like in today's game, but the hitting continues to be a major problem.

MOWIN 'EM DOWN: Between Kyle Farnsworth and Jamey Wright, the Royals' bullpen has struck out five of the six batters they've face and retired all six. You can't beat that with a stick. ... In the ninth, Wright stuck out Cody Ransom. Brett Gardner barely legged out an infield single, but Wright picked him off first base one pitch later. Wright then kicked a comebacker right to Alex Gordon -- David Beckham couldn't have done it better -- and Gordon threw out Derek Jeter. So the bullpen pitched three scoreless innings, strking out six and allowing only an infield single. Nice work.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 5:19pm.
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Royals bloggy notes: Friday, innings 5-7

A little redemption?A little redemption?The shadows have creeped beyond the pitchers mound and a chilly shade now covers most of the seats, except for those along the right field line. Just as cold are the Royals' bats on what is turning out to be Andy Pettitte Turn Back the Clock Day.

PITCH COUNT RISING: Ponson is probably done, now that the top of the fifth is in the books. I had some question as to whether Trey Hillman should have pulled Ponson after Robinson Cano's two-out walk. With runners on first and second and Nick Swisher coming up, the situation was precarious. Ponson's pitch count was already up to 93 and an extra-base there blows the game open. However, Ponson came back from a 2-1 hole and got Swisher looking on a nice slider that tailed back over the inside corner. It in fact appeared to be the exact same pitch he got Hideki Matsui and Jorge Posada on earlier in the inning. Ponson has thrown 98 pitches. His line: 5 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 5 K. Could have been worse. Of course, he's not officially out of the game yet ... if he's not, we have some serious fodder for today's Trey Weigh.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 4:48pm.
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Royals bloggy notes: Friday, innings 2-4

Royals can't solve ancient Andy.Royals can't solve ancient Andy.The Royals bats remain mostly quiet entering the middle innings, as I wonder why Mark Teahen's chosen music is the theme from "Entourage." The outfield plaza is still packed -- apparently lots of people have decided to just hang out up there instead of sitting in their seats. That is also where SRO is and I assume there is plenty of those today. However, there are quite a few empty seats, especially the ones in the shade. On the plaza, it's sunny so I can see the attraction. First condiment race of the year: Mustard in a breeze. Mustard rules. Everyone knows that.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 3:56pm.
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Royals bloggy notes: Friday, innings 1-2

Flashing some leather.Flashing some leather.The in-game notes will go out live today, if I can keep my scorecard updated with all of the Yankees' baserunners. Early observation: The two runs per game the Royals are averaging is not going to cut it today.

SIR SID EARLY RETURNS: After working himself into a first-inning jam, Sidney Ponson did a very foolish thing: He tried to stop a comebacker with his bare pitching hand. He stayed in the game after throwing a couple of pitches in front of Royals trainer Nick Schwartz. Predictably, his first pitch to Jorge Posada was rocketed into right field. Just like that, it's 2-0 Yanks. So far, sad to say, we're getting exactly what we expected to see from the Arubian Knight. He's already given up in one inning one more run than the Royals' first three starters gave up in three games.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 3:23pm.
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In memory of Kodak Camera Day

Still the man.Still the man.The Royals had a nice ceremony before the game where they introduced a little of ex-players that have donned the blue caps. It was hard to judge from the hermetically-sealed atmosphere in the pressbox, but it seemed like the biggest cheers were reserved for Freddie Patek, Paul Splittorff, Frank White and, of course, George Brett. Brett was introduced last, which reminds me of a story.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 2:36pm.
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Opening Day at the "new" K

Beautiful day, crowded park.Beautiful day, crowded park.With first pitch about a half-hour away, it's turning out to be a nice afternoon at the ballpark. The new outfield plaza area looks absolutely jammed. Fans are huddled along the rails up behind the foundations and are shoulder to shoulder along the new party deck in right field. The Fountain Bar in left field is overflowing, the carousel looks to be full and the new Rivals Sports Bar is definitely SRO. Safe to say, commerce is live and well at the new version of our beloved ball yard.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 10, 2009 - 1:47pm.
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Royals bloggy notes: Thursday

Season 41 for the Royals.Season 41 for the Royals.I'm about eight hours behind real-time as I swung out to the ballpark for a little orientation of the new media areas. Then I came home, was kicked out by realtors, went out to dinner with my wife, then slumped over for an ill-timed three-hour nap. It's easy to get disoriented at The K right now. The new press box is on a level that didn't exist before. It's nice, though. The park was a beehive of activity as everyone was getting prepped for tomorrow's opener. The first home game is always one of the biggest, if not the biggest, games on the home calendar, but with the Yankees in town, this year promises to be even more crazy. And with Sidney Ponson slated to start for KC, today's rubber match against the White Sox was pretty important. Having a series win on the road against a division opponent gives you a much different feeling than going 1-2 with one game you let get away. What follows are random notes I typed while watching today's game ... there's no rhyme nor reason to any of it. Ravings of a mad man, though I did take my medication today. I do urge you to click through and check out the item on the Royals' first three starts.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 9, 2009 - 11:11pm.
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Trey Weigh: Game 3

Another win!Another win!The Royals head home for Friday's home lid-lifter after a solid 2-1 win over the White Sox. Kyle Davies gave the Rs their third straight high-quality start. If the top three of the rotation continues to throw anywhere close to this good, the Royals WILL contend this season. Of course, now we get to see what the backend of the rotation looks like against the Yankees. Geesh, I wish Luke Hochevar was starting today. Anyway, Royals are 2-1 and in first place, so why complain?

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 9, 2009 - 10:39pm.
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Trey Weigh: Game 2

Zack Greinke made Trey Hillman's night an easy one on Wednesday.Zack Greinke made Trey Hillman's night an easy one on Wednesday.One win. Just one and, already, Tuesday's loss doesn't sting nearly so much. There wasn't any situation on Wednesday that approached the gravity of the Kyle Farnsworth debacle from the opener. Thank heavens for that. And, realistically, most games this season will go like that. The best thing a manager can be is to be like a good umpire: go unnoticed. There were only a couple of managerial gray areas from Wednesday's game, none of them in crucial situations. Hillman pulled his starter at the right time and used his bullpen well. A win for the Royals and a win for Hillman.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 8, 2009 - 8:52pm.
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Royals-White Sox bloggy notes

Season 41 for the Royals.Season 41 for the Royals.Here are some of the thoughts I had during the Royals 2-0 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. None of these items is worth a post in themselves and most fall short of true analysis. But, hey, I typed them and I have a blog, so it's not costing anybody anything for me to throw these out there. I don't even know if they make sense. I typed them. Copied them. Posted them. Enjoy. Or don't.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 8, 2009 - 8:49pm.
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Newest Royal: Travis Metcalf

Travis MetcalfTravis MetcalfThe Royals picked up former KU Jayhawk Travis Metcalf on Wednesday and assigned him to Class AAA Omaha. The move to the team that I presume Metcalf, a Manhattan, Kan., native, rooted for growing up is a nice story. I'm not sure what the Royals see in Metcalf, but you never know. He does have some power, but he's strictly organization depth at this point.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 8, 2009 - 6:55pm.
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Despite Royals, baseball salaries are on the wane

The Royals' braintrust has a more expensive club this season.The Royals' braintrust has a more expensive club this season.The Associated Press released its annual opening day payroll figures today and, in a rarity, aggregate salaries have actually declined since last season. Should we blame the recession or are baseball owners just getting smarter? OK, it's the recession. Overall, payroll is down $47 million, a decline of 1.75% over last season. After the jump is the complete list, which I matched up with my figures from last season.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 8, 2009 - 5:48pm.
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Trey Weigh: Game 1

Keeping tally on Trey HillmanKeeping tally on Trey HillmanSo we launch our new feature at UFR with plenty to discuss, thanks to Trey Hillman. The Trey Weigh will keep a very close eye on the Royals' skipper this season. The goal here is not to unnecessarily pick on Hillman, but instead to debate the decisions that every manager faces. Of course, there will be plenty of criticism but as much as possible, Hillman will be praised when warranted. I should also add that I am not at all suggesting that by second-guessing every decision Hillman makes that I know baseball better than the manager. I would never claim that. I am just a fan, albeit one armed with reams of numbers, that loves to debate baseball strategy. It's not personal, Trey. You just happen to be the current guy in the hotseat.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 5:35pm.
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Oh and one

Disastrous debut.Disastrous debut.The Royals went meekly in the ninth, so KC starts off with a really hard-to-swallow 4-2 loss on Opening Day. Excellent outing from Gil Meche. Nice days at the plate for Alex Gordon and Mark Teahen. The bullpen ... oh well. Be back later with the first "Trey Weigh" and, thankfully, the Royals skipper has done me a favor by giving me plenty to dissect.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 3:35pm.
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Farnsworth to KC: Hello!

The White Sox started getting better swings against Meche in the seventh, but for the second time in the game, Chicago aided the Royals' cause with faulty baserunning. With one out (a solidly-hit at'em ball to Crisp in Center), the detestable A.J. Pierzynski hit a hard grounder down the line that skipped into foul territory and then bounded towards left fielder David DeJesus. Pierzynski went for two, but DeJesus easily threw him out. Then Meche made Alexei Ramirez look like a small child, striking him out with a two-strike curve ball. Royals lead 2-1 through seven.

Octavio Dotel is on for the Sox in the eighth and after the way Clayton Richard was throwing, it's a relief to see Dotel. Billy Butler hasn't had a good day at the plate and could use a good at-bat here. Dotel had him lunging at a 1-1 slider -- a pitch that Butler needs to lay off of. He fouled it off, to go down 1-2. After wasting a pitch, Dotel got Butler swinging on a 2-2 fastball on the outside edge. So it's an empty day for Butler. Only one game, but you'd like to see him get off to a good start. Nothing doing after that, so we're headed to the bottom of the eighth with KC still up 2-1. I have a feeling we're about to get a taste of the Royals' ballyhooed bullpen.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 3:28pm.
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The Royals cling to the lead and predicting the playoffs

The Royals ran Buehrle out of their after five innings because of their solid collective approach at the dish. Hope to see lots of that this year. Gil Meche, judging by the bottom of the fifth, still seems to have plenty in the tank. Perhaps escaping that second-inning jam with just the one run was all he needed to turn in a high-quality start. Remember, so often when Meche struggles, it's the big inning that does him in. ... Meche gave up a hit in the sixth but got through in good shape. Now here is Trey Hillman's first big decision: Does he bring Meche out for the seventh? It's early, and the pitchers aren't stretched out as much as they will be in a month. I say, yes. Meche's pitch count is good and in the sixth, his velocity was stable and his breaking pitches were still biting. Let him go -- it's a one-run game, after all. The shorter that bridge between the starter and Joakim Soria, the better.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 2:51pm.
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The last division and the only one you probably really care about

OK, I'm almost an hour behind real time, so I'm going to concentrate on catching up on the action. I'll post this AL Central projection, then check back in a little later.

With the baseball season (finally) underway, the tedious process of tweaking depth charts is over. It's time to go on record with my projections for the upcoming campaign. These projections are a product of MLBPET, my system for projecting, evaluating and tracking the big leagues. I've been doing this for several years and I put these together to establish a baseline of expectation for each team. To put it another way, these projections tell me whether or not they should be surprised. For each division, I'll the projections in tabular format, then I'll list the "consensus" picks, using ESPN.com to serve as a proxy for the mainstream perception of each club. Next up is the AL Central.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 2:28pm.
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A golden opportunity and projections for the AL West

The Royals continue to work Mark Buehrle and have their best chance to take control of this game so far. Mark Teahen's approach continues to look great, as he went the other way with Buehrle pitch and laced a double into the left-center gap. Jose Guillen snuck and grounder into left and Mike Jacobs was hit by a pitch. Bases juiced. No body out. Buehrles is on the ropes. Will the Rs take advantage?

Baseball-reference.com is still ironing out some issues from its re-design, so I can't look up how the Royals did in bases-loaded/nobody out situations  last season. We have to forgive BR it's inevitable bugs because: 1) it has my vote as the greatest Web site ever created. Yes, even better than this one. 2) the amoung of data they had to re-organize is massive -- almost incomprehensible. You know that they'll have things humming along within a couple of days. Oh wait -- it's started to work. They actually don't have that split, but in situations with a runner on third and less than two outs, the Royals had an .868 OPS, which ranked 10th in the league.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 2:20pm.
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Wasted opportunities and projections for the AL East

The Royals are making Mark Buehrle work -- 82 pitches through four innings. That's good. Stranding seven runners in four innings -- that's not. Buehrle came back from a 3-0 hole to get David DeJesus with runners on second and third and two outs, retiring baseball's best clutch hitter in 2008. Meche, meanwhile, rolled through the fourth. He's been outstanding. Let's hope he doesn't hit that mid-inning wall that bites him from time to time. Still 1-1.

With the baseball season (finally) underway, the tedious process of tweaking depth charts is over. It's time to go on record with my projections for the upcoming campaign. These projections are a product of MLBPET, my system for projecting, evaluating and tracking the big leagues. I've been doing this for several years and I put these together to establish a baseline of expectation for each team. To put it another way, these projections tell me whether or not they should be surprised. For each division, I'll the projections in tabular format, then I'll list the "consensus" picks, using ESPN.com to serve as a proxy for the mainstream perception of each club. Next up is the AL East.

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Submitted by Bradford Doolittle on April 7, 2009 - 1:45pm.
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